Local Council by-elections 13/9/2007
The local by-election results this week are some of the most encouraging for Labour in a number of months with gains being made off both the Conservatives and Liberal Democrats. The Liverpool result was particularly encouraging given that this was until recently a safe Lib Dem result, it also saw a Tory vote of 1.4% (40 votes).
Although some of the by-elections are in weak areas, judging by the results the Labour vote is holding firm and in Lewisham and Liverpool area where the Lib Dems have made advances in the past few years the seem to be in retreat. Although the Brent result showed a slight drop in the Labour vote, the Conservative vote fell by over 13% as they were squeezed by the Liberal. The next few weeks sees a few more interesting contests including a by-election in Birmingham(a marginal Tory ward) and a marginal Labour ward in Portsmouth,
Brent LBC, Stonebridge
Lab 1432 (51.9;-1.6), LD 864 (31.3;+16.2), Respect 237 (8.6;+8.6),
Con 177 (6.4;-13.3), Green 51 (1.8;-5.2)
[Ind (0.0 -4.7)]
Majority 568. Turnout 24.03. Lab hold. Last fought 2006.
Chelmsford BC, Broomfield and The Walthams
LD 1198 (56.3;+38.1), Con 742 (34.9;-20.8), Lab 76 (3.6 ;-4.2),
UKIP 57 (2.7;-5.7), Green 53 (2.5;-7.4)
Majority 456. Turnout 35. LD gain Con. Last fought 2007.
Conwy UA, Mochdre
Lab 303 (45.7;-6.2), PC 166 (25.0;-23.1), Con 159 (24.0;+24.0),
BNP 35 (5.3;+5.3)
Majority 137. Lab hold. Last fought 2004.
Lewisham LBC, Whitefoot
LD 986 (37.1;-3.0), Lab 901 (33.9;+7.2), Con 536 (20.2;+2.5),
Ind 95 (3.6;+3.6), UKIP 89, (3.3;-5.1), Green 52 (2.0;-5.2)
Majority 85. Turnout 28.2. LD hold. Last fought 2006.
Liverpool City MBC, Warbreck
Lab 1796 (55.2;+10.9), LD 1024 (31.4;-13.8), BNP 136 (4.2;+4.2),
Ind 131 (4.0;+4.0), UKIP 52 (1.6;+1.6), Green 45 (1.4;+1.4),
Con 40 (1.2;-3.2), Liverpool Lab Community Party 32 (1.0;+1.0),
[Liberal (0.0;-6.1)]
Majority 772. Turnout 29.41. Lab gain LD. Last fought 2006.
Mendip DC, Glastonbury St Edmunds
Con 432 (55.4;+10.8), LD 348 (44.6;-10.8)
Majority 84. Con gain LD. Last fought 2007.
Rossendale BC, Goodshaw
Lab 634 (59.5;+6.5), Con 300 (28.1;-18.9), BNP 80 (7.5;+7.5),
LD 52 (4.9;+4.9)
Majority 334. Turnout 33.77. Lab gain Con. Last fought 2006.
Rossendale BC, Irwell
Lab 379 (37.2;+5.2), Con 312 (30.6;-1.6), BNP 281 (27.5;+1.2),
LD 48 (4.7;-4.9)
Majority 67. Turnout 27.04. Lab gain Con. Last fought 2007.
Rossendale BC, Whitewell
LD 606 (48.6;+11.9), Lab 399 (32.0;-5.7), Con 152 (12.2;-13.5),
BNP 91 (7.3 +7.3). Majority 207. Turnout 28.83. LD gain Con.
Tunbridge Wells DC, Pantiles & St Marks
Con 788 (59.8;-4.3), LD 364 (27.6;+0.5), Lab 94 (7.1;+7.1),
UKIP 71 (5.4;-3.4)
Majority 424. Turnout 27.3. Con hold. Last fought 2007
Although some of the by-elections are in weak areas, judging by the results the Labour vote is holding firm and in Lewisham and Liverpool area where the Lib Dems have made advances in the past few years the seem to be in retreat. Although the Brent result showed a slight drop in the Labour vote, the Conservative vote fell by over 13% as they were squeezed by the Liberal. The next few weeks sees a few more interesting contests including a by-election in Birmingham(a marginal Tory ward) and a marginal Labour ward in Portsmouth,
Brent LBC, Stonebridge
Lab 1432 (51.9;-1.6), LD 864 (31.3;+16.2), Respect 237 (8.6;+8.6),
Con 177 (6.4;-13.3), Green 51 (1.8;-5.2)
[Ind (0.0 -4.7)]
Majority 568. Turnout 24.03. Lab hold. Last fought 2006.
Chelmsford BC, Broomfield and The Walthams
LD 1198 (56.3;+38.1), Con 742 (34.9;-20.8), Lab 76 (3.6 ;-4.2),
UKIP 57 (2.7;-5.7), Green 53 (2.5;-7.4)
Majority 456. Turnout 35. LD gain Con. Last fought 2007.
Conwy UA, Mochdre
Lab 303 (45.7;-6.2), PC 166 (25.0;-23.1), Con 159 (24.0;+24.0),
BNP 35 (5.3;+5.3)
Majority 137. Lab hold. Last fought 2004.
Lewisham LBC, Whitefoot
LD 986 (37.1;-3.0), Lab 901 (33.9;+7.2), Con 536 (20.2;+2.5),
Ind 95 (3.6;+3.6), UKIP 89, (3.3;-5.1), Green 52 (2.0;-5.2)
Majority 85. Turnout 28.2. LD hold. Last fought 2006.
Liverpool City MBC, Warbreck
Lab 1796 (55.2;+10.9), LD 1024 (31.4;-13.8), BNP 136 (4.2;+4.2),
Ind 131 (4.0;+4.0), UKIP 52 (1.6;+1.6), Green 45 (1.4;+1.4),
Con 40 (1.2;-3.2), Liverpool Lab Community Party 32 (1.0;+1.0),
[Liberal (0.0;-6.1)]
Majority 772. Turnout 29.41. Lab gain LD. Last fought 2006.
Mendip DC, Glastonbury St Edmunds
Con 432 (55.4;+10.8), LD 348 (44.6;-10.8)
Majority 84. Con gain LD. Last fought 2007.
Rossendale BC, Goodshaw
Lab 634 (59.5;+6.5), Con 300 (28.1;-18.9), BNP 80 (7.5;+7.5),
LD 52 (4.9;+4.9)
Majority 334. Turnout 33.77. Lab gain Con. Last fought 2006.
Rossendale BC, Irwell
Lab 379 (37.2;+5.2), Con 312 (30.6;-1.6), BNP 281 (27.5;+1.2),
LD 48 (4.7;-4.9)
Majority 67. Turnout 27.04. Lab gain Con. Last fought 2007.
Rossendale BC, Whitewell
LD 606 (48.6;+11.9), Lab 399 (32.0;-5.7), Con 152 (12.2;-13.5),
BNP 91 (7.3 +7.3). Majority 207. Turnout 28.83. LD gain Con.
Tunbridge Wells DC, Pantiles & St Marks
Con 788 (59.8;-4.3), LD 364 (27.6;+0.5), Lab 94 (7.1;+7.1),
UKIP 71 (5.4;-3.4)
Majority 424. Turnout 27.3. Con hold. Last fought 2007
posted by Martin Whelton at 8:57 pm
3 Comments:
"Although the Brent result showed a slight drop in the Labour vote, the Conservative vote fell by over 13% as they were squeezed by the Liberal"
which isn't a good thing for Labour locally as that ward will be in the new Brent Central. If LDs squeeze the Tories vote hard, Sarah Teather can come very close to Dawn Butler next time
Just a shame there are no Merton by-elections . . .
In relation to Brent Central it would take a miracle for Sarah Teatcher to win this given that she only represents a minority of the seat.
On the new boundaries Labour were 15% in 2006 Local election and have a large notional majority. While the Liberals will no doubt squeeze the Conservative vote this can only do so far and signs exist that some of the Liberal vote is foing to Labour.
The best parts of her seat have gone to Hampstead and Kilburn which is a highly marginal constituency and it's surprising that she never went for this seat.
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